Can UCF finally win one?
Week 10 College Football Game picks are here, but before we look ahead, let’s check last week. In week nine #PicksAllKnight went 1-4, and we find ourselves sitting at 23-25-2 on the season. The first time under .500 this season, but we refuse to back down. (Responsibly) If you like my picks and analysis, please subscribe to the Sons of UCF on X (Twitter) and YouTube! You can find the rest of my content on X (Twitter) at _AllKnight_ and on http://SonsofUCF.com!
Week 9 Recap:
West Virginia Mountaineers @ UCF Knights
Wager: UCF (-6)
Final: West Virginia 41, UCF 28
#1 Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators
Wager: Florida (+14.5)
Final: Georgia 43, Florida 20
Iowa State Cyclones @ Baylor Bears
Wager: Baylor (-1.5)
Final: Iowa State 30, Baylor 18
Cincinnati Bearcats @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
Wager: Oklahoma State (-7.5)
Final: Oklahoma State 45, Cincinnati 13.
#11 Oregon State Beavers @ Arizona Wildcats
Wager: Oregon State (-4)
Final: Arizona 27, Oregon State 24
Making Moves Picks Records
Week 9: 1-4 (20.0%)
Season: 23-25-2 (47.9%)
Week 9: 3-3 (50.0%)
Season: 37-40 (48.1%)
Week 9: 3-7-1 (30.0%)
Season: 77-71-9 (52.0%)
Week 10 Official Picks
#25 Kansas State Wildcats @ #7 Texas Longhorns
Saturday 11/4, 12:00 PM, Fox
My Pick: Texas (-3.5)
Kansas State is 3-0 ATS the last three weeks, and has looked impressive. However, Houston, TCU, and Texas Tech are not on the same level as Texas. Kansas State has started to rotate their QBs as well between Will Howard and Avery Johnson, and has used a two QB system. I feel that Kansas State will struggle to continue to find consistent QB play against a stout Texas D-line. Texas ranks 27th in total defense and 14th in rushing defense. Texas QB Quinn Ewers will likely be out again this week to injury, but backup Maalik Murphy has looked good, and head coach Steve Sarkisian has game planned well to suit his skill set. They will rely on the run game to establish the flow of the game and keep Kansas State honest. Longhorns RB Jonathan Brooks ranks 15th in the country at rush yards per carry (6.41 y/rush) and will look to stay consistent on the ground to open up the offense for Maalik. Hook ‘em!
#12 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Clemson Tigers
Saturday 11/4, 12:00 PM, ABC
My Pick: Notre Dame (-2.5)
Notre Dame’s Audric Estime is nearing the 1,000 yard mark on the season, and he’s not the only back that can run the ball. Three different Fighting Irish running backs are all averaging more than 5 yards per carry. Notre Dame may look to pound the rock, but push will have to come to shove as Clemson boasts the #15 rushing defense in the country allowing just 99.1 rushing yards per game. Clemson is also in an unfamiliar situation. The last time they were around .500 in record was Dabo Swinney’s second season in 2010 when they finished 6-7. This is a fanbase that is used to winning as Dabo has brought them 8 ACC Conference Titles, 6 Playoff appearances, and 2 National Titles in his time. Look for the Clemson fans to be unsettled against Notre Dame. Give me the luck of the Irish!
Virginia Tech Hokies @ #15 Louisville Cardinals
Saturday 11/4, 3:30 PM, ACCN
My Pick: Total Points (Over 48.5)
Each of these teams only have 1 loss in conference play, and hopes to make it to the ACC title game. Virginia Tech started the season struggling to run the ball, but since bringing QB Kyron Drones in week 3 against Rutgers, they have been able to open up the running game as Drones is a threat to run. Virginia Tech has scored as least 30 points in 3 of their last 4 games. On the other side, running back Jawhar Jordan is the key to the Louisville offense. He averages 7.5 yards per carry. He’s getting a first down every other touch by himself! Louisville’s only loss on the season was to Pittsburgh on a week where Jordan was banged up and only ran the ball two times. I think this will be a back and forth blow for blow game on the ground with some explosive shots taken down field. Take the over on the points as I feel we’re in store for more than 7 touchdowns.
UCF Knights @ Cincinnati Bearcats
Saturday 11/4, 3:30 PM, FS1
My Pick: Total Points (Over 58.5)
Misery truly loves company. This weekend faithful, yet miserable Knights and Bearcats will show up and tune in to “root for” their team. The bottom line is that many are referring to this edition of UCF vs. Cincy as the “toilet bowl”, and they have every right to. Each team started their season 3-0 and 2-0 respectively, and have since gone 0-5 and 0-6. Collectively they are 0-10 in Big 12 Conference play, and haven’t been the new, upcoming teams some expected. Despite all the negativity surrounding this game, there is still something to play for. Dignity. The loser of this game will ultimately claim the title of “worst newcomer (and team) in the Big 12”. I’ll be honest, picking a side against the spread in this game would be ludicrous. Neither team has looked great on offense or defense, so there isn’t much to look to there. I did notice a trend in points totals however, and UCF and Cincinnati share the exact same statistic. The over for total points has hit in 6 of their 8 games this season. At a staggering rate of 75%, we cannot ignore this. Let’s hope for a classic rivalry game, and tons of points! Also someone teach Cincinnati how to put a sticker on a helmet.
BYU Cougars @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Saturday 11/4, 7:00 PM, FS1
My Pick: West Virginia (-9.5)
This game, personally, is one of the most anticipated matchups in the Big 12 Conference this season. Imagine a world where one fanbase stereotypically soaks in something called moonshine and the other… well, you get the idea. I couldn’t think of two teams and fanbases more drastically different than the other, and I think we’ll see this play out on the field. West Virginia is looking to continue on their path to stay in the mix, and have found renewed confidence in their head coach, Neal Brown. BYU is looking to cement themselves as the best newcomer in the Big 12, but will face a much tougher task as their last 4 opponents, West Virginia included, sit at 4-1 or 3–2 in conference, and are each vying for a spot in the title game. BYU is 2-3 against the spread this season as an underdog. All three of those losses came as underdogs on the road. Lay the points with West Virginia!
Thank you for reading! Follow along on http://SonsofUCF.com and _AllKnight_ on X (twitter). I’ll be keeping track of my Son’s picks week to week. Let’s win together, and as always. #WagerWisely
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