Will UCF beat Boise and cover the spread?

In week one #PicksAllKnight went 4-1, and we find ourselves sitting at 8-2 on the season. If you like my picks (and more importantly like making money) give this article a share on social media, subscribe to the Sons of UCF and give me a follow on X (Twitter) at _AllKnight_

Here’s a recap of my week 1 picks!

Kent State Golden Flashes @ UCF Knights

Wager: Total points over 58.5. 

Final: UCF 56, Kent State 6.

Outcome: WIN!

Virginia Cavaliers @ #12 Tennessee Volunteers

Wager: Total points over 58. 

Final: #12 Tennessee 49, Virginia 13. 

Outcome: WIN!

Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Wyoming Cowboys

Wager: Texas Tech (-14). 

Final: Wyoming 35, Texas Tech 33.

Outcome: Loss

West Virginia Mountaineers @ #7 Penn State Nittany Lions

Wager: Penn State (-20)

Final: #7 Penn State 38, West Virginia 15

Outcome: WIN!

#5 LSU Tigers vs. #8 Florida State Seminoles

Wager: Florida State (+3)

Final: Florida State 45, LSU 24.

Outcome: WIN!

Making Moves Picks Records

Overall:

Week 1: 4-1 (80%)

Season: 8-2 (80%)

Pool Tracker:

Week 1: 7-7 (50%)

Season: 7-7 (50%)

In the world of sports betting, it is not a question about if you’re going to go on a hot streak, or if you’re going to go cold, but rather how long that streak will go, and how hard you come crashing back to earth. I’m happy to report, the latter is not the case yet, and we’re going to keep this heater rolling into week 2! 

Iowa Hawkeyes @ Iowa State Cyclones (Total Over 36)

There are no two ways about it, this game will be a stinker, and the over/under line tells the story. This is a game that, on the scoreboard, will look a lot like the beautiful poetry that is Army vs. Navy, but on the field will look like a slow-motion train wreck. Brian Ferentz, the OC at Iowa, has not been known for his offensive prowess. The Hawkeyes averaged just 17.7 points per game in 2022, good for 130th out of 131 FBS teams. Ferentz returns this season with one of the weirdest contract stipulations ever seen. To retain his position, the Hawkeyes must score at least 25 points per game and reach 7 wins. Desperate times call for desperate measures and in Iowa, desperate looks like throwing the ball! Iowa missed the mark by 1 point in week one defeating Utah State 24-14. This will be a slugfest, but I see this rivalry game looking a little different as these teams sling the ball a little bit more.

My pick: Total points over 36. 

#20 Ole Miss Rebels (-6) @ #24 Tulane Green Wave

We flip gears from the Midwest and head down to the bayou where offenses are sure to shine! The Lane train and Ole Miss had an explosive first week hanging 73 points on Mercer! I get it, most probably don’t know Mercer has a football program, but the Rebels high powered offense is sure to show up against a Tulane Green Wave team that allowed 17 points against University of South Alabama in week 1. This line has already moved to Mississippi (-7), it is still a good value up to (-8) or (-9).

My pick: #20 Ole Miss (-6) @ Tulane. 

UCF Knights (-2.5) @ Boise State Broncos

UCF will make one of its longest trips of the year out to the blue turf of Boise State. While Boise has been an environment where power programs often fall, that has not been the case in recent years. UCF hopes to dismantle some of that home field advantage getting a little work on blue turf of their own this week thanks to The Master’s Academy in Oviedo, FL. The obnoxious blue has been touted by some as being a unique home field advantage, and to that I agree simply because of its headache inducing hue. This Saturday, the best headache remedy will be a UCF win! This will be a put up or shut up game for Darin Hinshaw’s vertical passing attack. Boise State got torched on deep balls by Washington in week 1 allowing 490 yards through the air. Can we take advantage of this and can JRP limit the turnovers and costly mistakes?

My pick: UCF (-2.5) @ Boise State

#13 Oregon (-7) @ Texas Tech Red Raiders

The fighting Trace Trylko’s of Texas Tech did NOT show out well in their season opener, losing in overtime as two touchdown favorites. They return to Lubbock for their season opener where is it sure to be a raucous crowd. This is also a revenge game for former Oregon Duck, and current Texas Tech starting QB, Tyler Shough. Shough was a highly rated recruit coming out of high school, and was often injury prone and never grew to his full potential. He transferred to Texas Tech in 2021 after two seasons with Oregon. Although, Shough is not the only transfer QB with something to prove. Bo Nix, transfer from Auburn in 2022, returns for Oregon after a stellar 2022 finishing with a completion percentage of 72%, 29 TDs and 7 interceptions. He looks to continue this trend after racking up 23 of 27 passing for 287 yards and three touchdowns playing just the first half plus one drive last week against Portland State. 

My pick: #13 Oregon (-7) @ Texas Tech

#19 Wisconsin Badgers (-4.5) @ Washington State Cougars

Luke Fickell opened his tenure at Wisconsin with a 38-17 win over Buffalo. The Badgers and their new-look offense struggled early scoring on just 1 of their first 6 drives. Many analysts said the days of “3 yards and a cloud of dust” may be left in the dust as Wisconsin looks to move to a more spread approach. The Badgers are still built to run the ball however, and secured 314 of their 503 offensive yards on the ground. On the other side, Washington State’s leading rusher in their 50-24 win over Colorado State was starting QB, Cameron Ward. Ward accounted for 40 of the Cougar’s 90 yards on the ground. You read that right, 90 yards rushing in a 50 point game. If Wisconsin can contain Ward, and limit the down field passing, I believe they run away with this game. Pun intended. 

My pick: Wisconsin (-4.5) @ Washington State

Thank you for reading! Follow along on http://SonsofUCF.com and _AllKnight_ on X (twitter). I’ll be keeping track of my Son’s picks week to week. Let’s win together, and as always. #WagerWisely

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