Will UCF bounce back in the Bounce House?
Bounce Back in the Bounce House
Knights return home for a homecoming show down with Baylor.
In week four #PicksAllKnight went 2-2-1, and we find ourselves sitting at 15-9-1 on the season. If you like my picks and analysis, please subscribe to the Sons of UCF on X (Twitter) and YouTube! You can find the rest of my content on X (Twitter) at _AllKnight_ and on http://SonsofUCF.com!
Week 4 Recap:
#16 Oklahoma Sooners @ Cincinnati Bearcats
Wager: Oklahoma (-13.5).
Final: Oklahoma 20, Cincinnati 6.
#22 UCLA Bruins @ #11 Utah Utes
Wager: UCLA (+5).
Final: Utah 14, UCLA 7.
#3 Texas Longhorns @ Baylor Bears
Wager: Texas (-14.5).
Final: Texas 38, Baylor 6.
#6 Ohio State Buckeyes @ #9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Wager: Notre Dame (+3).
Final: Ohio State 17, Notre Dame 14.
UCF Knights @ Kansas State Wildcats
Wager: UCF (+7).
Final: Kansas State 44, UCF 31.
Making Moves Picks Records
Week 4: 2-2-1 (50%)
Season: 15-9-1 (62.5%)
Week 3: 4-4 (50%)
Season: 24-25 (49%)
Week 5 Official Picks
10 Utah Utes @ 19 Oregon State Beavers
Friday 9/29, 9 PM, FS1
My Pick: Utah (+1).
Friday night will mark the 25th meeting between Utah and Oregon State, and the series is currently a perfect 12 wins for each team with 1 tie. Although this series has been even in the past, the Utes have won 6 of the last 7 meetings, and with hopes of continuing to improve that record this weekend.
Utah’s dynamic backfield features 3 players with 150 or more rushing yards. They are punishing on the line of scrimmage, and like to play ball control. Utah’s QB room continues to be hectic awaiting the return of veteran QB Cam Rising from injury. Backup QB Nate Johnson has continued to split reps with Rising this week in practice. I believe this game will be won on the defensive front as it will pit Utah’s #3 rushing defense against Oregon State’s #7 rushing defense.
Cincinnati Bearcats @ BYU Cougars
Friday 9/29, 10:15 PM, ESPN
My Pick: Cincinnati (+3).
Friday night will be a big night as both teams hope to become the first newcomer to win a Big 12 conference game. I believe Cincinnati’s defensive line, anchored by standout Dontay Corleone (13 tackles, 2 sacks), will be a matchup night for BYU. The Cougars have struggled to run the ball, ranked 127th in rushing offense at 61 yards / game, and rely on QB Kedon Slovis to get the offense into gear. Cincinnati’s 36th ranked rushing defense should feast on Friday night and improve their average, allowing 108 rush yards/game. I believe that if Emory Jones can limit the mistakes and turnovers, they cruise past BYU.
#22 Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats
Saturday 9/30, 12 PM, ESPN
My Pick: Kentucky (-2).
We’ll start with an eye-popping stat to put everything in perspective. Florida has lost 12 of their last 13 games away from home (including neutral site) by an average margin of 13.2 points. I feel like Saturday’s trip to Kentucky likely won’t be much different. Florida has continue to look up and down, and will go to Kentucky, who is a very quiet 4-0. Granted, the Wildcats have only faced BallState, Eastern Kentucky, Akron, and Vanderbilt. The Wildcats are led by veteran transfer QB Devin Leary who throws the ball more than 30 times a game. I expect the Kentucky offense to control this game, and keep it out of reach.
Baylor Bears @ UCF Knights
Saturday 9/30, 3:30 PM, FS1
My Pick: UCF (-11.5).
UCF looks to bounce back against Baylor after dropping their first Big 12 conference game at Kansas State 44-31. UCF’s first home conference game in the Big 12 comes 10 years after UCF beat Baylor in the 2013 Fiesta Bowl. UCF will be honoring the 2013 team during the game, DJ Pauly D will be playing a pre-game set, and the Knights are hosting homecoming. The Bounce House will be rocking! When we look at the numbers, Baylor hasn’t covered a point spread the entire season including against FCS opponent Long Island University. They also suffered a terrible loss to Texas State as 27.5 point favorites. Starting QB Blake Shapen has been injured and both backup QBs Sawyer Robertson and RJ Martinez have struggled to move the ball. With Robertson and Martinez in and out of the lineup, Baylor has ranked 61st in total offense. UCF’s defense looks to improve on last weeks performance after allowing 536 total yards and 207 yards to DJ Giddens alone at Kansas State. UCF has had QB health problems themselves and will call on backup Timmy McClain to try to lead them to their first Big 12 conference win, and hopefully a cover!
Iowa State Cyclones @ #14 Oklahoma Sooners
Saturday 9/30, 7 PM, FS1
My Pick: Oklahoma (-20).
Iowa State’s offense is mediocre on its best day averaging only 84 rush yards a game and posting 21.75 points on average. Oklahoma has a good defense and punishes inferior competition, only allowing 8.5 points per game this season. Oklahoma likes to put up monster numbers on offense, but will run into trouble as Iowa State ranks 19th in total defense. It’s important to note that Oklahoma is 4-0 both straight up and against the spread. I feel like the Sooners may only have to score 4 TDs to cover the 20 points.
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